Egyptian attitudes
September 2013
Zogby Research
Prepared for the Sir Bani Yas Forum
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Some observations about the questionnaire
The survey was conducted in the month of September 2013 has been prepared for the Sir Bani Yas Forum in Abu Dhabi, the fourth hosted by the United Arab Emirates officially represented by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, in collaboration with the International Institute of International Affairs "Chatham House" in the period from 15 to 17 November
Forum to meet with high-level strategic hosted by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and annually brings together 100 foreign minister and a leading figure of thought from all over the world to discuss issues facing the Middle East.
Figures Forum held in Qasr Al Sarab Desert in Liwa Oasis in Abu Dhabi.
Forum is subject to the rules of Chatham House Foundation, which does not permit citing coupled with identification of participants and there was no official data or statements prepared or media coverage of the event.
With regard to its methodology in research, the development of party supporters of freedom and justice in exchange for more than a political group representing the counterparty in the end [FIS - April 6 - Rebellion - Nour Party], which certainly affect the overall percentage latter.
Although this has been the result was shocking for the coup and a guide to promote freedom and justice for their strength in the street
Please also study and attention to the group that does not trust the parties, and the study of their positions.
Executive Summary
This survey represents the third of its kind since May 2013, and which we have conducted a survey at the national level for the Egyptian public opinion. It was a crucial time and noisy for Egypt. During this period, our poll open window allows us to understand and track the changing attitudes of the Egyptian people toward better disclose developments with: How does the Egyptians to the government and its institutions and areas of agreement and disagreement, and their hopes for the future.
May 2013
In our survey for the month of May and found that Egyptian society is deeply polarized. Three-quarters of Egyptians expressed their concern about the way in which a monopoly of power by the government of Mursi and fear that the Muslim Brotherhood is trying to impose its ideology on the country.
Egyptians have hope that they had in 2011 that the revolution will occur positive change. Whereas 82% of Egyptians have hope in 2011, now holds 36% of them only this hope. The army enjoys overwhelming support from all segments of Egyptian society (94%), but the country was divided on whether they wish to enter the army (44% support, and rejected 56%). Opposes almost all supporters of Freedom and Justice Party this procedure, but 60% of Egyptians want others to assume control of the army. In general, the preferred options of what to do in the coming period is the national dialogue (87%), and the abolition of the Constitution (64%). For those options, support those who trust in freedom and justice dialogue, but they were almost unanimously agree in their opposition to the abrogation of the Constitution, an option that was supported by more than 85% of the rest of the country.
What was clear from the survey in May that the behavior is continuing to Freedom and Justice Party has alienated three-quarters of them Egyptians. While there were differences in how to end their rule, it was clear that most Egyptians want change.
July 2013
|
سبتمبر 2013 |
يوليو 2013 |
مايو 2013 |
|
|
34 |
24 |
26 |
الحرية والعدالة (الإخوان المسلمون) |
|
10 |
22 |
29 |
حزب النور |
|
13 |
12 |
22 |
جبهة الانقاذ |
|
20 |
22 |
25 |
حركة 6 أبريل |
|
35 |
32 |
- |
تمرد |
|
17 |
27 |
39 |
لا يثق في أي من الأحزاب |
|
مستوى الثقة في ..... |
||||||||
|
|
تمرد |
6 أبريل |
جبهة الانقاذ |
النور |
الحرية والعدالة |
اجمالي |
|
|
|
|
2 |
28 |
20 |
34 |
100 |
34 |
يثق |
الحرية والعدالة |
|
|
97 |
72 |
78 |
65 |
- |
59 |
لا يثق |
|
|
|
14 |
23 |
37 |
100 |
10 |
10 |
يثق |
حزب النور |
|
|
84 |
76 |
63 |
- |
86 |
86 |
لا يثق |
|
|
|
25 |
44 |
100 |
49 |
8 |
13 |
يثق |
جبهة الانقاذ |
|
|
73 |
55 |
- |
46 |
91 |
84 |
لا يثق |
|
|
|
34 |
100 |
69 |
48 |
16 |
20 |
يثق |
6 أبريل |
|
|
63 |
- |
29 |
50 |
79 |
74 |
لا يثق |
|
|
|
100 |
59 |
69 |
50 |
2 |
35 |
يثق |
تمرد |
|
|
- |
40 |
30 |
50 |
97 |
62 |
لا يثق |
|
For the third time this year, we asked respondents about their confidence in the major political parties and groups in Egypt. The results indicate what it is that there is a "sort" Gary. At this stage, the Egyptians are more likely to choose a side, and so continue the proportion of those who do not have "confidence" in any party or political group to decline, from 39% in May to only 17% in September. There is also less overlap between the groups, which was present in May. For example, in a survey in May was 88% of those who trust in the Nour Party also trust in the Freedom and Justice Party, and today only 34% of supporters of the light support the Brotherhood party.
Retain the confidence of rebellion largest proportion (35%), and got an extra boost with the loss of the National Salvation Front and the April 6 movement of some supporters. Strengthened the Muslim Brotherhood some support, including additional support from liberals who do not support the current campaign; enjoy Freedom and Justice Party Confidence 34% of the respondents, an increase of 8% since May Nour Party and the FIS in the collapse, with dwindling support to only 10% and 13%, respectively.
Positions from Tahrir Square to the rebellion toward the future
|
When Mubarak left power two years ago, how was your optimism in the incidence of positive change in the future? |
|||||||
|
Does not trust the parties |
Tamard |
6 Apr |
اEl-inqaz |
Elnoorر |
Hurua&Adala |
Total |
|
|
93 |
90 |
88 |
88 |
90 |
90 |
90 |
Optimistic |
|
7 |
10 |
12 |
12 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
Not Optimistic |